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Highway Expansion Proponents Creed of Ignorance
Assumed by CDOT Region 1, the CDOT/BBC/FHU Economics Benefits of Transportation Investment Study and the Denver Metro Chamber and Metro Denver EDC I-70 Congestion Study
Let's ignore the fact that because of our oil addiction, we are at War in Iraq to gain access to Iraq's oil reserves.
Let's ignore the immense cost of funding our military presence in the Middle East to insure the flow of oil to the US.
Let's ignore the cost of our foreign oil purchases which indirectly fund the enemies that we are fighting not only in the Middle East, but throughout the world.
Let's ignore the fact that we are determining a transportation solution for the I-70 mountain corridor that will take between 10 and 20 years to implement (if not longer if the funds cannot be made available).
Let's ignore the fact that the I-70 mountain corridor solution will be implemented in the 2020 to 2025 timeframe, not tomorrow.
Let's design our future to accommodate more cars and trucks instead of designing our future to accommodate more people.
Let's focus our transportation efforts on moving cars and trucks instead of moving people.
Let's make cars and trucks more important than people in our land use and transportation planning processes.
Let's prioritize car and truck facilities over over bicycle, public transportation and pedestrian facilities that comprise "Complete Street" programs.
Let's ignore mountain corridor resort overcrowding and congestion that occurs today during peak periods and invite even more vehicles through I-70 highway expansion.
Let's ignore the residents of mountain communities that do not want any more vehicles in their towns during peak periods.
Let's ignore the overuse of Colorado's public lands and the environmental degradation that comes with it.
Let's design a highway widening solution that envisions automobile travel behavior in the year 2025 to be identicial or greater than today without regard for climate change, peak oil, rising fuels cost, tolling, VMT fees, geopolitical instability in the Middle East, our changing demographics and lack of highway maintenance funds.
Let’s ignore the fact that we cannot afford to even maintain the highway infrastructure that we already have, let alone maintain any new highway infrastructure that we might create.
Let's dump the enormous maintenance debt of taking care of our existing roads and bridges on our children and grandchildren while at the same time prioritizing spending for highway expansion projects that will create even more maintenance debt.
Let's allow the same 1950's/1960's interstate highway era transportation philosophy and those who support this philosophy (CDOT Region 1, highway contractors, highway engineers, oil companies, automobile manufacturers, automobile dependent development interests and all politicians with a vested interest in keeping the status quo of highway expansion as our primary transportation solution) to dominate the transportation planning and funding discussion for the 21st Century.
Let's expect that the same 1950's/1960's interstate highway era transportation philosophy that created the congestion and transportation infrastructure mess that we have today, to provide our transportation solutions for the 21st Century.
Let's ignore the sustainable transportation and land use vision of the Environmental and Smart Growth organizations because they don't support the empowered financial interests vested in continued highway expansion, continued auto-dependent development, continued US reliance on foreign oil and continued US military presence in the Middle East.
Let's ignore the fact that our transportation planning and funding process is not about making the best decisions and selecting the best transportation and land use alternatives, but rewarding a select and very powerful group of special interest groups regardless of the national and international political and environmental consequences of these decisions.
Let’s ignore worldwide rising fuels costs.
Let’s ignore the cost of our national energy security.
Let's ignore the fact that energy insecurity equals geopolitical instability.
Let’s ignore the cost of maintaining a constant military presence in the Middle East to insure the flow of oil to the US.
Let’s ignore the US contribution to the funding of global terrorism through the purchase of foreign oil.
Let’s ignore the worldwide political instability that decreasing oil supplies and increasing oil demand is creating.
Let’s ignore the looming global liquid fuels crisis as we reach worldwide peak oil production and see oil production begin to decline (most experts agree this will occur between 2010 and 2014).
Let’s ignore the fact that all the easy and inexpensive highways have already been built.
Let's ignore the fact that very little economic benefit occurs by expanding existing highways.
Let’s ignore the costly and intrusive private property acquisition necessary to expand highways in developed areas.
Let’s ignore the incredible expense of highway construction today, but at the same time continue to stigmatize energy efficient public transportation solutions as too costly.
Let’s ignore the increased accidents, injuries and fatalities associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let’s ignore the air quality degradation as a direct result of vehicle emissions and fugitive dust associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let’s ignore the water quality degradation associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let's ignore the increased use of traction sand and Mag Chloride that occurs with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel along with the air and water pollution that results.
Let’s ignore the ridiculous noise level associated with the current I-70 highway and its impact to the mountain corridor communities.
Let's ignore the noise associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let’s ignore the health and community impacts associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let’s ignore the obesity problems associated with auto-dependent and auto-priority development fueled by highway expansion and at the same time discourage pedestrian, bicycle and public transportation facilities.
Let’s ignore the increased demand for State Patrol Resources, Incident Management, Emergency Communications, Law Enforcement, Fire Protection and Ambulance, Emergency Medical and Trauma Care services associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let’s ignore the increased greenhouse gas emissions associated with highway expansion and increased motor vehicle travel.
Let’s ignore the US transportation’s automobile and truck dependency and its contribution to global climate change.
Let’s ignore the induced travel impacts of highway expansion that encourage vehicle miles traveled and even more congestion.
Let’s ignore the fact that highway expansion breeds auto-dependent sprawl, increased vehicle miles traveled and more congestion.
Let’s ignore the cost of government service delivery to the dispersed auto-dependent development and sprawl that highway expansion fuels.
Let’s ignore the needs of our increasing senior population for pedestrian friendly and livable communities.
Let’s ignore the fact that as Baby-boomers retire in massive numbers, they will be driving less.
Let’s exaggerate the economic benefits of highway expansion by not taking into account the harmful economic impacts of highway construction, increased foreign fuel consumption and US agricultural land consumption for auto-dependent development and sprawl.
Let’s ignore big business and economic development association’s GREED for more customers and more profits regardless of the environmental and community impacts and consequences to future generations.
Let's ignore the fact that increasing fuel prices, fuel taxes, Vehicle Miles Traveled taxes and tolls will literally drive the middle class away from discretionary travel.
Let’s ignore the legacy of highway maintenance funding deficits we are passing on to our children and grandchildren.
Let's ignore the legacy of environmental, energy and political problems we are passing on to our future generations by our selfish demand for highway expansion and our selfish demand for the right to drive when and where we want to, regardless of cost or impacts.
Let's ignore the fact that highways and independent private motor vehicles as the United State's primary means of transportation are NOT sustainable.

When will CDOT Region 1, the Colorado Ski Industry and the Denver Metro Chamber Wake Up and Pull Their Collective Heads out of the Sand?
CDOT Region 1, the Colorado Ski Industry and the Denver Metro Chamber continue to push for six lane widening of I-70.
How difficult is this to understand:
With no other option than the I-70 highway, all mountain corridor mobility comes to a halt when severe weather hits.
Six lanes on I-70 will do absolutely nothing to stop weather related accidents, injuries, fatalities and the resulting complete road closures that often occur when significant wind, snow or rain events hit the corridor.

The wind and snow closure of I-70 on 12-30-07 and 12-31-07 is a case in point. Ground blizzards and total white out conditions mandate that the highway be closed due to the extreme risk of accidents, injuries and fatalities that result.
Clear Creek County Ambulance Service had 23 calls on Sunday, December 30, 2007 alone as a result of I-70 traffic incidents. If public safety were paramount to CDOT, the Ski Industry, the Denver Metro Chamber and the State of Colorado (instead of the economic interests of the resorts and resort communities) the I-70 highway would have been closed on Sunday morning, 12-30-07.
Heavy wind, avalanches and avalanche mitigation work, rockfalls, mud slides, heavy rain and heavy snow all close the I-70 roadway and will continue to do so regardless of the number of lanes.
Even light snow and sun glare cause accidents and I-70 road closures. Mountain corridor individual vehicular travel is extremely vulnerable to weather events often with the least prepared, most aggressive, most careless, most reckless and most dangerous drivers setting the pace for everyone else.
What a Welcome to Colorado we are providing our out of State visitors!
The extended rockfall closure in August of 2005 is another case in point. Snow and wind are not the only events that can close I-70 for extended periods.
Occurrence: Between 8:30 am Saturday August 13, 2005, and 5:00 am Sunday, August 14, 2005, a large rockslide occurred on I-70 near just west of Idaho Springs. The slide took place in three sequences varying from approximately 400 cubic yards to less than 100 cubic yards of rock and soil.
Site Conditions The site is located approximately 0.25 miles west of Idaho Springs. This area consists primarily of metamorphic rock (schist and gneiss) with various small scale intrusions of granitic material. Along this stretch of highway the metamorphic rock is highly weathered creating unstable slope conditions in several areas.
The Colorado Department of Natural Resources inspected an abandoned mine shaft located just above the slide and prepared an abandoned mine field form. Results of the mine shaft inspection indicate that the shaft dips into the slope at approximately 30 degrees and could be as deep as 70 feet. The mine shaft was dry at inspection.
A precipitation event preceded the rock slide and likely contributed to the failure. At the time of the initial site visit it was not raining, however, the highway and slope were wet indicating recent rainfall.
The Slide Area: The slide area is approximately 80 ft. wide at its base and 150 ft. in slope length. The thickness of the failed rock layers averages about 10 feet. The slide plane is inclined approximately 50 degrees from the horizontal and dips toward the highway.
Site conditions after the failure prompted an immediate recommendation to mitigate and reduce the rockfall and rockslide risk. The recommendation was to remove slide debris from the ditch area and/or remove loose, residual material from the slope. This mitigation was believed necessary before reopening the westbound lanes of I-70.
Mitigation and Construction Methods:
Mitigation efforts consisted of removing the slide debris from the ditch, shoulder, and roadway and were initiated on the morning of August 14, 2005. The size of slide debris necessitated blasting to break it into manageable pieces. Upon removal of the slide debris to an acceptable level, the highway was temporarily reopened until a contractor could mobilize equipment to the site and begin scaling activities.
On the evening of August 15, 2005 a large crane arrived on site. The crane arrival allowed mechanical scaling techniques to be used and access to areas higher up on the slope needing to be blasted. The scaling and blasting efforts continued nonstop until the slope was stabilized to a point at which a large scale slope failure was not believed to be imminent.
In addition to rock scaling, the installation of rock reinforcement was conducted in an attempt to stabilize a large, wedge of rock on the east side of the slope. The inherently unstable condition of the slope presented unfavorable conditions for the installation and the effort was called off. Prior to reopening the westbound lanes of I-70 all remaining slide debris was removed from the ditch and a temporary rockfall barrier was installed on the shoulder.
During the first 2 days, while rock scaling and blasting were being performed, westbound I70 was detoured at the existing frontage road. As soon as an Incident Management team was formed, westbound traffic was detoured unto the mainline by implementing a 2-lane-2-way on the eastbound lanes. Traffic was returned back to its original four lane configuration around 9:30PM on Thursday (August 18, 2005).
Heavy snow, wind, avalanches, rockfalls and traffic accidents causing injuries and fatalities, drive I-70 closures and shut down the High Country economy. Why would we spend billions of dollars on I-70 highway expansion that will be just as vulnerable to weather related closures that shut down mobility in the mountain corridor and impede the state's resort economy? Wouldn't we be better off investing those same dollars in a safer and more reliable transportation option? The Ski Industry and the Denver Metro Chamber should be screaming for a more robust mode of transportation in all weather conditions between the Denver International Airport, the Denver Metro area and the mountain resorts and mountain communities as the absolute priority for mountain corridor mobility improvement. Instead they are demanding highway widening. Go figure.
Check out why the CDOT and Denver Metro Chamber Studies are wrong!
CDOT Economic Benefits Study
Denver Metro Chamber I-70 Congestion Study
Why both studies are Wrong (Word doc)
The Driver Factor
Simply stated, mobility in the mountain corridor for all travelers is dependent on the behavior of each individual vehicle driver in the corridor. One bad driver decision resulting in a wreck can cause hours of delays for all of us.
Regardless of vehicle technology improvements, allowing the freedom of every individual to drive and control their own personal vehicle on a high speed freeway, results in the worst car or truck driver setting the pace for everyone else.
Wind driven ground blizzards creating zero visibility (day or night) mandate I-70 closures, regardless of the number of lanes. Driving in deep snow or under zero visibility conditions is extremely dangerous. How many drivers do you want passing you on either side (as six lanes would allow) in white out or deep snow conditions?
DRIVING IS NOT A RIGHT, IT IS A PRIVILEGE.
A privilege that many motorists take for granted. This is especially true in the mountain corridor where there is not only no other feasible alternate highway route, but no other transportation mode available to mountain corridor travelers.
I-70 is it, and all our mobility is subject to the driving behavior of every corridor driver, cars and trucks.
In my research into the I-70 problem, the number 1 outstanding issue which time and time again is missing from the tens of millions of dollars spent on the I-70 analysis, is simply the behavior of corridor drivers.
Colorado State Patrol officials in Clear Creek and Summit Counties report that virtually every I-70 accident year round is a result of drivers operating vehicles at greater speeds than the conditions demand. Every law enforcement official (both local and state) as well as every emergency service provider that I have spoken to, tells me that the corridor drivers are the most aggressive, careless, reckless and irresponsible in the state of Colorado. Emergency Service providers risk their lives every day responding to I-70 incidents.
The appalling corridor driver behavior is witnessed by locals, truckers and public safety agency staff every day. Corridor drivers are always in a hurry. They don’t obey speed limits or law enforcement direction. They fight with State Patrol or local agency staff that is directing traffic. Road closures are a nightmare for the emergency service and law enforcement personnel. Every single driver considers themselves to be the single exception to the rule. They are arrogant, stubborn and difficult. I have witnessed this first hand and believe that the emergency service folks are saints for putting up with the abuse they receive from corridor drivers.
Making highway expansion the priority improvement for the corridor just encourages more of the same aggressive driver behavior. It will simply increase accidents, injuries and road closures, which will only increase driver delays, not decrease them. Even if new technologies are developed that make personal vehicle driving more energy efficient, cleaner and quieter, we will still be faced with more aggressive and careless driving producing more accidents and more delays.
The single most cost effective throughput improvement in the mountain corridor is a permanent police presence to keep motorists speeds under control and reduce the number of accidents, road closures, hazardous material spills, injuries and fatalities.
Police winter inspection of Front Range vehicles heading up to the High Country could make a huge improvement to I-70 throughput by reducing the number of bad weather incidents. All vehicles would be subject to a random inspection to make sure that they have snow tires with good tread depth, autosocks and/or chains in the vehicle before leaving the Denver Metro area.
Many corridor motorists complain about truck drivers who are unprepared for winter driving conditions, but how many automobile drivers are also unprepared for winter driving in the High Country? All it takes is for one unprepared motorist to crash and the rest of us wait for hours in traffic jams.
An increased Police presence in the mountain corridor ought to be the highest priority action for the I-70 PEIS process because it will not only increase throughput and decrease delays, but it will also save lives.
Highway Expansion - Creating Tomorrows Transportation Problems Today
Mountain highway lanes are rarely at full capacity due to rain, hail, fog, snow, wind, ice, flooding, sun glare, avalanche control, breakdowns, construction, accidents, police activity, wildlife on the roadway, rockfalls, snow slides, slow moving vehicles, unfamiliar, bad or slow drivers and any adjacent activity to the highway that provides an opportunity for motorists to slow down and look. Any of these activities can impact motor vehicle travel, regardless of the number of lanes in a specific direction.

When wind driven ground blizzards hit between Idaho Springs and Vail that create zero visibility (day or night) there is no option for the Colorado State Patrol or the Colorado Department of Transportation but to close the highway. With no other option than the I-70 highway, all mountain corridor mobility comes to a halt when severe weather hits.
In addition, there is a known interaction between vehicular traffic in adjacent highway lanes. Due to this interaction, adding a general purpose lane does not necessarily double the vehicle capacity of the adjacent lane. Typical throughput of the additional lane will be 20 to 30 percent less than the adjacent lane.
Once a road becomes sufficiently crowded, then it becomes harder for drivers to coordinate with each other. Each driver has to anticipate what other drivers will do, and because information is transmitted between cars only via brake lights and turn signals which are crude devices at best (and turn signals aren’t always used), anticipation often turns into over-reaction. A single driver who’s too ready to hit the brakes can slow down an entire highway. And because drivers have no bigger picture of what traffic looks like, their decisions (whether to get off at this exit or trudge onward, whether to move out of this lane or stay in it) are haphazard at best.
During periods of any volume, it takes very little to create a traffic jam. A sudden lane change, hard breaking or a sudden entrance from an on ramp and a huge ripple of braking is created that can bring traffic to a stop and go condition for miles. Instead of the elegant, patterned movements of birds, drivers produce the stop-and-go disorganization of a traffic jam.

A mountain highway is an extremely variable transportation medium and only as good as the quality and consistency of the vehicles and drivers using it. I-70 motorists are some of the most careless and reckless in the State according to Colorado State Patrol and Trucking Industry officials. Skiers, Snowboarders and Casino Patrons are very often in hurry to get to their destinations and do not tolerate slow drivers or traffic very well.
Most I-70 motorists have seen significant multi-vehicle accidents and even roll-over incidents when there is just a dusting of snow. Even sun glare can cause significant delays and multi-vehicle accidents.
For most I-70 Mountain Corridor motorists, the most lengthy traffic delays they have or will experience are a result of highway construction, snow or rockslides, accidents and/or bad weather that cause substantial traffic interruption and even complete road closures.

Often the traffic ripple effect of an accident or construction activity can last for hours, well beyond the actual clearing of the vehicles or clearing of the construction equipment involved. Passing motorists may never actually see the accident or construction activity, but can experience the delays they caused for several hours.
If Our Goal is to Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled and take Vehicles off the I-70 Highway, then how does Highway Expansion Help?
A six lane I-70 will simply put more vehicles and drivers into the mountain corridor. A significant number of I-70 mountain corridor motorists are outdoor recreationists or casino patrons who tend to be fairly aggressive drivers. A six lane I-70 will invite more careless driving, more reckless driving in bad weather, more road rage incidents and more accidents, the impacts of which result in six lanes of congestion istead of four lanes of congestion and little or no improvement in travel times.
A six lane I-70 will be just as vulnerable to bad weather, poor driver behavior, avalanche control, accidents and highway construction, as a four lane I-70 and will provide no option to these events, but to sit in traffic and wait with everyone else.

Courtesy of George W. Welles Imaging Futures, Inc.:
In 1947 Experts Predicted That by the Year 2000: • Helicopter/Gyro Copter in Every Garage
• Nuclear Powered Aircraft & Trains
• All Disease Cured
• 30 Hour Work Week
• Turbine Powered Cars
• Moon Base
• Men on Mars
Since 1947 We Have Seen: • Founding of the UN
• First Landing on the Moon
• Break Up of the Soviet Union
• Black Government in South Africa
• Growing Gap Between Rich & Poor
• Robots Replacing People
• True World Wide Economy
• Instant Global Communication Including the World Wide Web
We Live on a Planet Where One Man Turns the Soil By Hand With a Stick, While Another Orbits the Earth in a Space Station.
“We Can No Longer Look to the Past to Predict the Future”
-- George W. Welles
Remember!
Technologies Are Neither Bad nor Good, Its How They Are Used That Defines Them
So What Are the Technologies, Trends, and Challenges That Will Affect My Future?
Challenges • Global Warming
– More Severe Weather
– Sea Level Increases
– Diseases Spread
• Global Crime and Terrorism
• Oil and Other Energy Shortages
• “Two Thirds of World’s Resources Used Up”*
• Global Interdependencies (Good and Bad)
• Disparity Between “Haves” and “Have Nots”
Five Critical Global Technology Needs 1. Clean, Safe Inexpensive Water
2. Sustainable Agriculture & Food Production
3. Simple Low Cost Communication
4. Locally Produced Energy for Industry, Transportation and Communication
5. Technology to Produce Products for Local Customers and Even for Sale Globally
Warning!
Don’t Assume a Technology Will or Will Not Work in Your Country before You Examine It Thoroughly
Future Trends to Watch
• Nanotechnology
• Biological Communications & Computing
• Biocatalysis (Organic Replaces Petro Chemicals)
• Distributed Intelligence - Grid Computing
• Radio Frequency Identification Chips (RFID)
• Everything to Everything Wireless Connectivity
• Power from Fuel Cells and Other Sustainable Technologies
• Quantum Computing & Communications
• Expanding Use of Robotics
George W. Welles
Imaging Futures, Inc.
http://www.imagingfutures.com
gwelles@imagingfutures.com
When will CDOT Region 1, the Colorado Ski Industry and the Denver Metro Chamber Start Paying Attention to Our Changing Demographics?
As Baby Boomers retire in growing numbers, they will be moving to areas where their children live or to areas that allow them to pursue a desirable retirement lifestyle. In almost all cases, since they will no longer be commuting to work, they will be driving less.
What percentage of mountain corridor travelers today are Baby Boomers?
As Baby Boomers retire to warmer climate locations or even to mountain corridor communities, they will be traveling less and less in the corridor.
Will their corridor travel numbers be replaced by younger generation corridor travelers?
From The Future Isn't What It Used To Be
The U.S. population is projected to grow to nearly 400 million by 2050, a large absolute increase but a decline in the annual growth rate from 1.1% during the 1990s to 0.5% expected in the 2040s (Cheeseman Day, 2001).
This decreasing growth rate is due to declining birth rates, a common phenomena in developed countries. From 2030 to 2050, the United States would grow more slowly than ever before in its history.
The population mix is projected to change significantly, with a much greater portion of elderly residents, immigrants and minority residents. Figure 15 shows U.S. population pyramids for 1990 and 2025. A dramatic change is projected to occur during the next twenty years as the Baby Boom ages.

As the Baby Boom retires their per capita vehicle travel should decline, and their demand for alternative modes and more accessible housing location is likely to increase (AARP, 2005).
Although Baby Boomers are likely to drive more than previous retirees, they are unlikely to drive as much as they did during their working years. As people age they tend to drive less, as illustrated in Figure 16. The most significant reduction occurs when they retire and so no longer commute, and annual mileage continues to decline as people age.

Our national Caucasian population is having fewer children than previous generations and is not replacing itself. Winter and summer outdoor mountain recreation is relatively expensive and there is no question that affluent Caucasians are currently the majority of mountain corridor summer and winter tourists. The largest growing national demographic sector is the Hispanic and Latino community, especially Mexican Americans, who may not necessarily value outdoor recreation and public lands in the same way as previous American generations have. Their priorities for spending disposable income may be quite different than previous Caucasian generations.
In addition, the obesity rate among America's youth today is staggering as in-home entertainment through on-line computer usage, cell phones, I-Pods, video games, virtual reality sports simulations, high definition television, digital audio, digital radio and high definition movies are becoming much more popular than actual outdoor exercise.
Look at the growing sales and growing sophistication in laptop and home computers, hand held and mobile computers, computer generated animation, computer generated video and graphics, digital audio, digital cellular devices, CDs, MP3's, DVD's, video games, high definition television and high definition movies in recent years as an example.
These trends would suggest that in another 10 to 15 years, America's new generation will prefer to virtually ski and snowboard, virtually mountain climb, virtually hunt, virtually race motorcycles, snowmobiles, ATVs, Off-Road Vehicles, bicycles and cars and virtually travel; all from the comfort of their homes and at a fraction of the cost and at a fraction of the actual effort required to travel into the mountains and participate in these recreational activities and outdoor sports.
Why put up with driving under treacherous winter icy conditions and freeze or get rained on outside when you can have very close to the same experience right at home? In fact, you may be much more proficient at the virtual and computer sports than you would be at the actual outdoor exercise or sport, so what would be the incentive to bother to go to the mountains?
Is CDOT Region 1, the Denver Metro Chamber and the Ski Industry paying attention? Sure, the mountains will still provide a nice view from the Front Range Metropolitan area, but it will require far less effort, far less time and be far less expense to recreate through advanced computer, video and virtual technologies, right at home. < |